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Modélisation bottom-up, un outil d'aide à la décision long terme pour les mesures politiques en matière d'énergie et d'environnement : le modèle TIMES appliqué aux industries grandes consommatrices d'énergie

Abstract : Among the energy users in France and Europe, some industrial sectors are very important and should have a key role when assessing the final energy demand patterns in the future. The aim of our work is to apply a prospective model for the long range analysis of energy/technology choices in the industrial sector, focussing on the energy-intensive sectors. The modelling tool applied in this study is the TIMES model (family of best known MARKAL model). It is an economic linear programming model generator for local, national or multi regional energy systems, which provides a technology-rich basis for estimating energy dynamics over a long term, multi period time. We illustrate our work with nine energy-intensive industrial sectors: paper, steel, glass, cement, lime, tiles, brick, ceramics and plaster. It includes a detailed description of the processes involved in the production of industrial products, providing typical energy uses in each process step. In our analysis, we identified for each industry, several commercially available state-of-the-art technologies, characterized and chosen by the Model on the basis of cost effectiveness. Furthermore, we calculated potential energy savings, carbon dioxide emissions' reduction and we estimated the energy impact of a technological rupture. This work indicates that there still exists a significant potential for energy savings and carbon dioxide emissions' reduction in all industries.
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https://pastel.archives-ouvertes.fr/pastel-00005303
Contributor : Ecole Mines Paristech <>
Submitted on : Tuesday, July 28, 2009 - 8:00:00 AM
Last modification on : Sunday, October 25, 2020 - 7:06:58 AM
Long-term archiving on: : Thursday, September 30, 2010 - 9:01:24 PM

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  • HAL Id : pastel-00005303, version 1

Citation

Ahcène Djemaa. Modélisation bottom-up, un outil d'aide à la décision long terme pour les mesures politiques en matière d'énergie et d'environnement : le modèle TIMES appliqué aux industries grandes consommatrices d'énergie. Sciences de l'Homme et Société. École Nationale Supérieure des Mines de Paris, 2009. Français. ⟨pastel-00005303⟩

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