Anticipation of the access to the aggregate resource by breaking present schemes in the long term

Abstract : This research aims at anticipating the access to construction aggregates in France in future years. The thesis, which is based on the ANTAG-project funded by the French national research agency, focuses on the construction and application of a decision support system for the national aggregates market allowing for the simulation of the consequences of decisions concerning the supply end as well was for consumption and transport over a 30 year period. The macroeconomic top-down model is calibrated using the principle of System Dynamics. One key issue in this work is the introduction of a mechanism detailing the market balance between the supply sources by a distribution of the overcapacity. This allows one to model and monitor the relative competitiveness of the actors. A base case scenario was performed using historical data and formed the starting point of seven scenarios, which are caused by "breaking actions" and analysed based on their economic and environmental output parameters. One enormous advantage of the model is the fact that it offers vast potential for new features and add-ons, which are essential for the introduction of secondary feedback mechanisms.
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Submitted on : Monday, February 7, 2011 - 11:03:53 AM
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  • HAL Id : pastel-00563707, version 1

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Mario-Luis Rodriguez Chavez. Anticipation of the access to the aggregate resource by breaking present schemes in the long term. Applied geology. École Nationale Supérieure des Mines de Paris, 2010. English. ⟨NNT : 2010ENMP0021⟩. ⟨pastel-00563707⟩

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